News
QCM and Distinguishing AI-generated Fakes from Reality
Article by Ontonix “Generative AI is a type of artificial intelligence technology that can produce various types of content including text, imagery, audio and synthetic data. The recent buzz around generative AI has been driven by the simplicity of new user […]
Resilience of the System of Top US Banks
By ONTONIXQCM The fall of SVB and Signature Bank are reflection of a much larger problem. In this short blog won’t go into the details of that or the actual dynamics of the failure. Our goal is to show the […]
Sustainability and the Dramatic Importance of Systemic Analysis
You only appreciate the importance of systemic analysis once you see the kind of new knowledge it delivers. There is much talk of systemic analysis in finance but there is very little research on the subject, not to mention a […]
The Next Global Worst Nightmare Scenario
In today’s turbulent world, punctuated by destabilizing events of increasing intensity and frequency, it is vital to know what a worst-case scenario is and which factors are critical. What were considered low-probability events in the past must be countered today […]
Making Predictions Based on Murphy’s Laws
The origin of the well-known Murphy’s Laws may be traced to Edwards Air Force Base in 1949. Murphy’s Laws may sound funny but most of us will agree that they correctly reflect the reality more than simple anecdotes. Because of […]
The European Union: Too Big to Fail or Too Fragile to Survive?
The covid-19 has accentuated the fragmentation of the European Union. In a moment of political fragility we have performed a resilience rating analysis of the union as a whole as well as of the individual countries and specific macro regions. […]
How Complexity Anticipates Black Swans – the 2020 Market Crash.
The 2020 stock market crash was a global stock market crash that began on 20 February 2020. On 12 February, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the NASDAQ Composite, and S&P 500 Index all finished at record highs (while the NASDAQ […]
Investing Based on Systemic Analysis of Markets
According to the Principle of Fragility, a less complex business is less fragile, hence potentially sustainable for longer periods. The ‘Too-Complex-To-Survive’ concept is one thing to always keep in mind. Excessively articulated and fragmented businesses tend to last less. The […]
The Principle of Ignorance
Observing our society one comes to the inescapable conclusion that on average, the level of ignorance increases, much like the volatility of the global economy. True, we do have more technology, but people have traded books for tablets and this […]